Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000078 0.000082 0.000086 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100
2025-02-02 0.000069 0.000074 0.000080 0.000086 0.000093 0.000102 0.000111
2025-02-09 0.000066 0.000072 0.000079 0.000088 0.000097 0.000109 0.000123
2025-02-16 0.000064 0.000071 0.000079 0.000089 0.000101 0.000115 0.000134
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000072 0.000081 0.000093 0.000108 0.000127 0.000152
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000069 0.000078 0.000091 0.000107 0.000127 0.000156
2025-03-09 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075 0.000088 0.000104 0.000126 0.000157
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074 0.000088 0.000105 0.000129 0.000165
2025-03-23 0.000055 0.000064 0.000075 0.000089 0.000109 0.000136 0.000178
2025-03-30 0.000053 0.000062 0.000073 0.000088 0.000108 0.000137 0.000182
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000059 0.000070 0.000085 0.000105 0.000134 0.000180
2025-04-13 0.000048 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081 0.000101 0.000129 0.000176
2025-04-20 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078 0.000097 0.000126 0.000173
2025-04-27 0.000045 0.000053 0.000063 0.000078 0.000099 0.000130 0.000184
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000102 0.000137 0.000200
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000052 0.000064 0.000080 0.000105 0.000144 0.000218
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000053 0.000066 0.000084 0.000112 0.000158 0.000250
2025-05-25 0.000042 0.000052 0.000064 0.000082 0.000110 0.000157 0.000253
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000050 0.000062 0.000080 0.000108 0.000154 0.000251
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000108 0.000158 0.000264
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000080 0.000112 0.000166 0.000288
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000079 0.000111 0.000167 0.000296
2025-06-29 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058 0.000077 0.000107 0.000162 0.000289